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Internet of Things device market to explode
物聯(lián)網(wǎng)設(shè)備市場將爆炸式增長

From $9.5B in 2014 to $46B in 2024, the Internet of Things (IoT) device market will represent close to 15% of all data processing.”IoT devices offer huge potential for electronic component manufacturers, but this is clearly not where the value will stop. Most of the added value in IoT solutions will come from the processing of the generated data”, explains Dr Eric Mounier, Senior Technology & Market Analyst at Yole Développement. “In fact, the ratio between electronic components and data processing can reach 1:50 in certain long-term cases!” he adds.  

從2014年的95億美金到2024年的460億美金，物聯(lián)網(wǎng)設(shè)備市場將占據(jù)整體數(shù)據(jù)處理的15%左右份額。“物聯(lián)網(wǎng)設(shè)備為電子元器件生產(chǎn)商帶來了巨大的發(fā)展?jié)摿Γ茱@然，物聯(lián)網(wǎng)的價值遠(yuǎn)非如此。物聯(lián)網(wǎng)解決方案的大部分附加值將來自生成數(shù)據(jù)處理。” Yole Développement資深技術(shù)和市場分析師Eric Mounier博士解釋說，“事實上，在某些長期情況下，電子元器件和數(shù)據(jù)處理之間的比例可以達(dá)到1比50。”

This result is easily understandable, since the main purpose of the IoT is to make sensing ubiquitous at a very low cost, resulting in extremely strong price pressure on electronic component manufacturers. Nevertheless, the next five years will be extremely fruitful for device makers; the market should reach $70B by 2018, before decreasing. This period represents a key window in which manufacturers must seize the opportunity to grab a piece of the IoT business pie.

這個結(jié)果很容易理解，因為物聯(lián)網(wǎng)的主要目的是在成本極端低廉的情況下使傳感無處不在，這對電子元件制造商造成很大的價格壓力。但對設(shè)備制造商而言，接下來的五年將成果豐碩。到2018年，這個市場的營收將達(dá)到700億美元的峰值。這個階段是一個很重要的窗口，制造商必須抓住這一機(jī)遇以分享物聯(lián)網(wǎng)這塊大蛋糕。

The IoT is a multi-billion dollar market emerging from several different markets (i.e. industrial sensors, wearable electronics and home automation) which will see strong convergence in the next five years. Three industrial and service sectors will be integral to the valorization of this new market:
從幾個不同的市場（比如，工業(yè)傳感器、可穿戴電子產(chǎn)品和家庭自動化）來看，物聯(lián)網(wǎng)是一個數(shù)十億美元的新興市場，未來五年將迎來大聚合，從而帶動以下三個工業(yè)和服務(wù)行業(yè)的發(fā)展：

• The electronics industry, which will manufacture the sensing devices
• The communication and cloud data storage industry, which will handle data transmission, storage and processing
• Service companies, which will valorize the data either through processing or by selling to a third party

• 生產(chǎn)傳感器設(shè)備的電子行業(yè)
• 控制數(shù)據(jù)傳輸、存儲和處理的通信及云數(shù)據(jù)存儲行業(yè)
• 通過對數(shù)據(jù)處理或?qū)?shù)據(jù)賣給第三方來增加數(shù)據(jù)價值的服務(wù)公司

Some companies have already started positioning themselves in these fields: for example, Oracle and Amazon are developing their cloud computing capabilities; Bosch Connected Devices and Solutions and STMicroelectronics have teams dedicated to the IoT; and Google and Facebook are continuously developing their data processing models while looking to acquire companies linked to data gathering. Of course, not all of them will be winners.

一些公司已經(jīng)開始定位于這些行業(yè)。比如，甲骨文和亞馬遜現(xiàn)在正大力發(fā)展云計算技術(shù)；博世連接設(shè)備與解決方案部門和意法半導(dǎo)體公司已成立致力于物聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)展的團(tuán)隊；谷歌和Facebook正不斷開發(fā)其數(shù)據(jù)處理模型并著眼于收購與數(shù)據(jù)采集相關(guān)的公司。當(dāng)然，并非所有這些公司都將是贏家。

The short-term opportunity lies in the electronics industry. Indeed, very strong price pressure is expected for IoT devices, and strong volumes are expected but at very low cost. Even though the general electronics market will experience strong growth, it will be through decreased costs, increased manufacturing capabilities and reduced margins. This trend has already been seen in the MEMS field over the past few years, and will repeat itself in the future.

短線機(jī)會來自電子行業(yè)。事實上，預(yù)計物聯(lián)網(wǎng)設(shè)備將承受較大的價格壓力，出貨量強(qiáng)勁，但成本非常低。盡管通用電子市場將出現(xiàn)強(qiáng)勁增長，但它會貫穿降低成本、提高制造能力和利潤減少。過去幾年，這種趨勢已經(jīng)出現(xiàn)在MEMS領(lǐng)域，未來也將重演。

The same is to be expected for the cloud computing industry. Large investments in terms of data storage will be needed, but strong price pressure is expected, and an overall low value will be attributed to the physical data. Actually, the war on price has already begun between the major cloud computing companies, which are cutting data storage prices while growing their capabilities.

云計算行業(yè)的預(yù)期同樣如此。在數(shù)據(jù)存儲方面仍需大量投資，但是會形成很大的價格壓力，而物理數(shù)據(jù)是導(dǎo)致低價值的原因。事實上，主要云計算公司之間在擴(kuò)展其性能時使得數(shù)據(jù)存儲的價格被削減，價格戰(zhàn)已經(jīng)展開。

Meanwhile, on the data processing side, more and more information will be available, and at low cost. The more data, the higher the value, and all of this with low overall infrastructural investment. “Service companies will be the big winners in this field. In order to secure some of this value, hardware and cloud companies will have no choice but to try and integrate themselves vertically in order to valorize themselves and the data they’ll be responsible for! As an example, we expect the overall IoT market to reach $400B in 2024, with $46B coming from hardware, $59B from the cloud and $296B from data processing”, details Dr Guillaume Girardin, Technology & Market Analyst, Yole Développement.

同時，在數(shù)據(jù)處理方面，越來越多的信息將得以利用，成本也很低。數(shù)據(jù)越多，價值越大，而所有這一切都與較低的整體基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資相關(guān)。Yole Développement技術(shù)與市場分析師Guillaume Girardin博士預(yù)測說：“服務(wù)公司將會是這個領(lǐng)域里面的大贏家。為了確保這部分價值，硬件和云公司將別無選擇，只能嘗試垂直整合，使自己及其負(fù)責(zé)的數(shù)據(jù)增值！舉個例子，我們預(yù)計物聯(lián)網(wǎng)整體市場將在2024年達(dá)到4000億美元，其中460億來自硬件，590億來自云計劃，以及296億來自數(shù)據(jù)處理。”

The evolution of IoT technologies is mainly focused on heterogeneous integration at device and module levels. The array of technologies available and soon to be available is immense. Nevertheless, sensing modules’ evolution will follow a predefined trend that can be summarized in a series of seven product generations, including large industrial smart sensors, an advanced generation of sensors.

物聯(lián)網(wǎng)技術(shù)的發(fā)展將專注于設(shè)備和模塊技術(shù)的集成。現(xiàn)有的和即將上市的技術(shù)陣列非常巨大。然而，傳感模塊的演變將遵循一個預(yù)定義的趨勢，可以將其歸納為一系列的七代產(chǎn)品，包括大型工業(yè)智能傳感器，以及先進(jìn)的新一代傳感器。